Jonathan Bernstein, who blogs at Bloomberg View, is my favorite political blogger. He's a political scientist with a doctorate and prior to his blogging gig at Bloomberg, he was a professor at the University of Texas. He's keeping a close eye on who the potential 2016 presidential candidates are and in a post today says that the Republican nominee will probably come from this list of twelve:
Jeb Bush
Chris Christie
Paul Ryan
Rick Perry
John Kasich
Mike Pence
Marco Rubio
Bobby Jindal
Scott Walker
Rob Portman
Mike Huckabee
Rick Santorum
In my So Who Is Running For President In 2016 post from November 5, I had these 12 names plus six more (Sam Brownback, Ben Carson, Ted Cruz, Mitt Romney, Rand Paul, Rick Snyder) that Bernstein doesn't consider to be viable or plausible. In particular, he says that neither Rand Paul nor Ted Cruz, who are on or at the top of many of the current "possible" lists, are viable:
No, I didn't forget Senators Rand Paul or Ted Cruz. They are running serious campaigns, but I don't think they are viable nominees. Paul isn’t within the party mainstream on several issues, most importantly national security. As for Cruz, it isn't just that he has annoyed far too many party actors. The failure of the government shutdown he spearheaded in 2013 surely convinced others that he can't be trusted to look out for the Republican Party. ...[W]ith a full field of serious candidates already in place, the winnowing is probably just around the corner. Read the entire post here.
Let the winnowing (and the announcing) begin!
Days until election day: 714
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