Showing posts with label Eugene Robinson. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Eugene Robinson. Show all posts

Thursday, August 27, 2020

The Trump National Celebration? Unimpressive. - Updated

Political scientist Jonathan Bernstein, writing at Bloomberg, weighs in on the first three days of the Republican National Convention:

Way back in March, President Donald Trump gave an Oval Office speech about the coronavirus, which was immediately rendered irrelevant by the breaking news that Tom Hanks had contracted it and that the National Basketball Association was shutting down.

The Republican convention has had a similar feel all week, but on Wednesday the impression was overwhelming. Republicans went through a series of (mostly taped) speeches that felt entirely out of touch with current events, as the NBA once again shut down, along with the WNBA and three Major League Baseball games, this time to protest the police shooting of Jacob Blake. And of course those NBA games were supposed to take place in a “bubble,” a brand-new term that for most people evokes the ongoing pandemic — except for Republicans, who continue to pretend that the coronavirus is something that Trump solved long ago.

Even when they’re not explicitly talking about the crisis in the past tense, they’re effectively doing so. Vice President Mike Pence proclaimed that “we’re re-opening America’s schools” even as many districts are staying remote and dealing with impossible choices — and without the extra funds that even Trump concedes they need but hasn’t been able to deliver. Pence at least addressed the pandemic, which most other speakers have ignored. But he gave no hint that there are still tens of thousands of new cases a day, or that the toll in the U.S. is among the worst in the world.

And while it’s probably true that Democrats last week underplayed the violence and looting that have broken out in some cities in the wake of protests, Republicans have exaggerated the discord out of all proportion — and blamed it all on Democrats, who (as Joe Biden just did) have mostly condemned the violence while supporting peaceful protests. Again, that was true on the first two nights of the convention, but it seems increasingly out of touch.

The second notable thing Wednesday, and really throughout the convention, is just how hollowed out this Republican Party is. I counted four administration officials and two candidate family members among the speakers, and there have been several other relatives featured so far. It’s unusual (and potentially illegal) for White House staff and other administration officials to speak at political events. But it’s also, well, unimpressive. Senators, governors, community leaders and ordinary citizens all presumably speak on behalf of the presidential candidate out of genuine support. Staff … well, sure, they wouldn’t be working for the president if they didn’t support him, but the bottom line is that they’re praising the boss, and the only folks apt to be impressed by that are those who already support the candidate.

Regardless of how effective those speeches are, they suggest that the party is atrophying rapidly (at the level of party actors, that is, not of voters, where there’s been little change). It’s not clear whether other politicians just don’t want to be associated with the convention or if Trump doesn’t want them there, but either way the whole week has seemed more like a Trump National Celebration (and airing of grievances) than a Republican National Convention. And that’s all the more true because the Trump family members are for the most part giving standard political speeches, not talking personally about the president in a way that others could not. In that se
nse, it’s hard to see the logic of why they’re speaking at all. (This is the column in its entirety.)

Why, exactly, didn't Don Jr., Eric, Lara, Tiffany, Melania and quasi-family member Kimberly Guilfoyle tell heartwarming personal stories about Donald as a person, a father, a husband? Why didn't they tell lovely stories about those times when he supported them, encouraged them, inspired them? Why didn't they talk about those times when he helped someone? Times when he was inspirational? Heroic? Courageous? Why didn't they tell those stories? That's easy. They can't, because there aren't any.

In the interest of fairness I'll note that daughter-in-law Lara Trump did tell a nice story about when when she first met husband Eric's family, saying that she liked them because they were "down to earth." She was quickly laughed out of the room:



And one more thing. The Lincoln Project is out with a new video that points out the hypocrisy behind Mike Pence's slobbering, sycophantic adoration of Donald:



Update: Eugene Robinson's thoughts about Mike Pence's speech last night:

What 176,000-plus deaths from covid-19? What devastating shutdown and recession? What double-digit unemployment? What mass uncertainty over whether and how to open the schools? What shocking police killings of African Americans? What long-overdue reckoning with systemic racism?

Let me put it another way: What country does Vice President Pence live in?

During his acceptance speech at the Republican National Convention on Wednesday, Pence sounded as though he lived in some kind of fantasyland that perhaps had encountered a few tiny little bumps in the road. His party has spent the week claiming to represent “the common man,” but Pence spoke as though he knew next to nothing about the daunting challenges that Americans are having to deal with every day. The most he could muster was an acknowledgement that “we’re passing through a time of testing,” as though he were consoling a motorist after a fender bender.

He did offer “our prayers” for victims of Hurricane Laura, and he acknowledged there had been deaths from the coronavirus pandemic, though not how many. But his only pointed and specific words were his attacks against the Democratic nominee — “You won’t be safe in Joe Biden’s America” — and his full-throated endorsement of President Trump’s “law and order” rhetoric.

The vice president rejected the idea of systemic racism, instead focusing on the protest and demanding its end. He blasted “violence and chaos . . . rioting and looting . . . tearing down statues” — with no mention of why those things might be happening.

Pence spoke from an iconic American setting, the site of the War of 1812 battle whose “rocket’s red glare” and “bombs bursting in air” inspired Francis Scott Key to write “The Star-Spangled Banner.” Fort McHenry is meant to symbolize national unity. It was an act of defilement to use such a place for partisan political rhetoric intended to provoke division and fear.

But as far as this Republican convention is concerned, what else is new?

So far, the GOP has misused the White House — the people’s house — to have President Trump and his acting secretary of homeland security stage a naturalization ceremony, crassly reducing five newly minted U.S. citizens to photogenic props; have Trump pardon an African American ex-convict, as part of an all-out attempt to whitewash the administration’s shocking racism; and have first lady Melania Trump deliver her convention address, standing before Republican partisans in the Rose Garden she recently renovated.

The party also had Secretary of State Mike Pompeo speak to the convention from Jerusalem, playing an active partisan role in a way no sitting secretary of state has done in living memory — in the middle of an overseas diplomatic trip, no less. He is supposed to represent the entire nation, but apparently he represents only the loyal Trump base.

Trump and his campaign aides see this ostentatious disregard for hallowed norms as an element of the Trump brand. Despite having been in office for 3½ years, Trump still wants to cast himself as some kind of rough-hewn outsider willing to smash all the china, if necessary, to “get things done.” It’s pure razzle-dazzle, designed to create the illusion of blunt effectiveness — and distract from the administration’s dismal, tragic failures.

Pence is supposedly leading the nation’s response to the coronavirus emergency. One might have expected that he, of all speakers, would at least try to deal with that crisis substantively. But one would have been wrong.

As Pence spoke, a potentially catastrophic Category 4 storm was grinding toward landfall along the Gulf Coast. Many thousands of people were trying to evacuate their homes near the Texas-Louisiana border — and, because the Trump administration so bungled its response to covid-19, had to scramble for shelter and safety in the middle of a raging pandemic.

Meanwhile, Kenosha, Wis., was under a tense dusk-to-dawn curfew following angry protests that were sparked by the shocking police shooting Sunday of yet another Black man, Jacob Blake. Pence apparently hadn’t noticed the reason for the Kenosha protests. And he apparently really didn’t notice the killing Tuesday of two protesters, allegedly by a young White vigilante and Trump supporter.

I wasn’t surprised. Earlier in the evening, the convention brought out Michael McHale, president of the National Association of Police Organizations, to describe Biden (who wrote the 1994 crime bill) and vice-presidential nominee Kamala D. Harris (a former prosecutor) as somehow anti-police — and call Trump “the most pro-law-enforcement president we’ve ever had.” Be afraid, America, be very afraid.

But what all of this actually reveals is Trump’s own naked fear.

He and the Republicans are pulling these stunts because they know that right now, according to polls, they are losing this election. Badly. And deep down, I hope, at least some of them realize that defeat is what they richly deserve. (This is the column in its entirety.)  

Monday, August 24, 2020

Donald Trump Jr.'s Eyes - Updated

I didn't see Don Jr.'s speech tonight (I bailed out of the RNC and back to DVDs after the first 15 minutes or so,) but according to my Twitter timeline, he appeared to be high on something or other:


































Update on Tuesday morning. Touré weighs in:



Update #2. A question about Don Jr.'s girlfriend's speech, with a reference to him as well, came up on Eugene Robinson's live chat this afternoon. I didn't realize the speeches had been taped in advance:

Q: Don Jr.'s Girlfriend

I find myself cringing on Kimberly's behalf this morning. I'm not the target audience for her speech, but still. It was so deliciously mockable. Is she cringing this morning, asking herself, what was I thinking? It's hard to believe that a smart woman with professional aspirations, which I assume she has, of one kind or another, would deliberately set herself up for this much ridicule. I've seen suggestions that she (and Don Jr.) were seriously "over-caffeinated". Possible?


A: Eugene Robinson

The amazing thing, to me, is that both those speeches had been recorded earlier. Somebody decided they were fine to broadcast as is, rather than say, "Look, that was great, but let's try it one more time and maybe take it down a notch or two." Whoever told Guilfoyle that she nailed it didn't do her any favors


Update #3 on Saturday morning. Writing at the LA Times, Virginia Heffernan ponders Kimberly Guilfoyle's place in the universe:

I can’t get that uncanny image of Kimberly Guilfoyle out of my mind. You know — bold, glamorous, raven-haired Kimberly Guilfoyle with the heavy-hitting law resumé and the very, how to put it, confident voice.

There she is in my mind’s eye, consort to a high-placed politician, soaking up both his love and the love of fans while ... lying on a Tabriz carpet in an opulent San Francisco parlor chockablock with antiques and graced with a spectacular view of the bay.

Right — I’m not talking about the meme of Guilfoyle from Monday night at the Republican National Convention. I don’t mean the heavily parodied freeze-frame in which she stood, arms outspread, as a woman who evidently would not be crucified on a cross of libs.

No — I mean the image of a recumbent Guilfoyle in Harper’s Bazaar from September 2004, when her political companion was, of course, not her current companion — far-right presidential son Donald Trump Jr. — but the then-mayor of San Francisco and now-governor of California, Gavin Newsom, a lifelong liberal. The piece dubbed Guilfoyle and Newsom “The New Kennedys.”

The bizarre Bazaar image (if you can resist looking it up, please do) shows bare-shouldered Guilfoyle folded in Newsom’s arms, inexplicably on the floor of an extravagant, gilded dwelling straight out of “Dynasty.” Their awkward-as-hell asana can only be called “SNL” bait.

From my own days at fashion magazines, I remember that power-couple profiles like this one were considered jackpots, especially in thick September issues. The article would provide a “serious” pretext (California politics) for an eye-candy extravaganza. And the photo spread would convey that earnest public servants spend their days not in budget meetings but in erotic, consumerist splendor, making out on carpets in revealing eveningwear.

You can bet that Kimberly and Gavin were not likened to the Kennedys for their commitment to the Peace Corps. They were “Kennedys” because they were hot. And spent money.

And though the marriage — and Guilfoyle’s commitment to anything like liberal politics — lasted only three years, the couple’s shining Camelot days are frozen for all time in that spread, as if the image were shot through with eternal Botox.

My hope this week, as the sound and fury of Trump’s macabre Republican National Convention roars on at a deafening volume, is not just that Trump will be soundly defeated in November. I also hope that the reign of this century’s bipartisan obsession with vulgar preening will be bookended by these two photos of Guilfoyle. The 2004 shot of 35-year-old Democrat Guilfoyle spooning on the floor with Newsom. And the 2020 YouTube download of 51-year-old Republican Guilfoyle, as she screams on behalf of President Trump, “The best is yet to come!”

Guilfoyle now disparages California as “a land of discarded heroin needles in parks, riots in streets and blackouts in homes.” She says Democrats made it that way, in whose ranks she must include her ex.

But I don’t see her as a once-good Democrat who somehow turned into a bad Republican. She, like so many aspiring influencers, went where the spotlight was — and money, power and a mate-on-the-rise.

It may be hard to remember, but it wasn’t always this way. The Kennedys with their Camelot were an exception to the reigning idea that the American role model, the president, eschew consumerism and extravagance in favor of dignity, thrift and diligence.

President Coolidge allegedly said the American people wanted a “solemn ass” for president. So, the opposite of a sexy centerfold. And Camp David, the presidential getaway, gives a sense of what presidential leisure is meant to be: horseshoes, billiards, reading and of course chapel attendance, all amid castoff furniture and mosquitos. Not a celebrity hairstylist or tanning bed in sight.

In this century too many in politics — and media, academia, the law — seem to have lost their way. They became, or at least mixed with, the overclass. The TED set, the Gulfstream set, the Davos set, the can-I-get-you-a-glass-of-champagne-milord set. The greed set.

Look, I see the allure. Though I’ve never flown in a Gulfstream, I did attend, as an assistant, photo shoots like the one Newsom and Guilfoyle did for Bazaar. You could eat from vast sushi spreads. You’d get free lipsticks and could even go to wrap parties.

If someone had proposed to write a magazine profile of me as the new Jackie Kennedy, come on, I might have even said yes.

But I was never asked, so I never did. And that’s just as well. Because those who did take up such offers are now in an uneasy spot, whatever their political party. Trumpism — in all its gaudiness and brutality — has exposed the false idols of the Gulfstream set over the last decades.

And Guilfoyle’s cringe-inducing performance on Monday night represents a kind of limit case for how haywire “glamour” can go.

In addition to the success so far of Joe Biden’s not-so-glamorous bid for the presidency, there’s another sign that the excesses of the era might be coming to an end. Harper’s Bazaar, which had been in print since 1867, closed up several of its editions just last month. No one even noticed.
(This is the column in its entirety.)

In April, 2017, Heffernan wrote about the nothingness in Donald's soul; you can read about that here.

Friday, July 17, 2020

Immensely Powerful, Bizarrely Irrational, Increasingly Desperate

From Eugene Robinson, writing at the Washington Post:

This is the awful reality of our situation: For the next six months — at least — we are trapped on a badly leaking ship captained by an utter fool.

If he cared a whit about the well-being of the nation he is supposed to lead, President Trump would resign immediately. He would slink back to his gaudy apartment in Trump Tower, where he could look down at the new Black Lives Matter street painting on Fifth Avenue. Or he would flee to his Florida estate, Mar-a-Lago, where his rounds of golf might be disturbed by the sirens of ambulances rushing covid-19 victims to overburdened emergency rooms.

But it is absurd to imagine that Trump cares about anyone or anything but himself. He will not go voluntarily. So on Election Day, he must be made to suffer a humiliating defeat, and on Inauguration Day, he must be firmly escorted — bodily, if necessary — out of the White House.

This election is not about politics, ideology or even red vs. blue tribal identity. At this point, it’s about our collective survival.

I believe that Joe Biden will be a good president if he is elected, and that circumstances will present him with the opportunity to be a truly great president, if he’s able. But any functioning adult would be an improvement over Trump, because he is not in fact a functioning adult. As his niece, Mary L. Trump, explains at length in her new book, he is more like a damaged child.

His callousness and refusal to admit error led us to where we are now with covid-19 — beset by worsening, out-of-control spread of the virus at a time when other industrialized countries are cautiously returning to normal. There is nothing we can do about his past mistakes. But look at what the president is doing now — pushing hard for a nationwide reopening of schools with in-person classroom instruction, just like before the pandemic. If viruses had imaginations, that would be covid-19’s fondest dream.

Trump’s hostility toward a national reckoning with structural racism is no surprise — not to those who recall his crusade for the death penalty ​after the arrests of the Central Park Five, who were ultimately exonerated; ​or his exploitation of the racist “birther” conspiracy theory about former president Barack Obama, which vaulted Trump to political prominence. But look at how he is heightening racial tensions, rather than soothing them, by going out of his way to champion Confederate memorials and the Confederate battle flag, and by turning “law and order” into code words for white nationalism. Even George Wallace, when he ran for president, was more circumspect.​

If Trump had done all of this out of calculation, reasoning that it gave him the best chance of winning reelection, he would immediately change course. An NBC News/Wall Street Journal national poll of registered voters released Wednesday showed him trailing Biden by 11 points, with 50 percent of respondents saying that under no circumstances would they even consider voting for Trump. A Quinnipiac poll released the same day showed Trump down by a whopping 15 points.

Listening to the hour-long screed Trump delivered in the Rose Garden on Tuesday, I didn’t hear a canny politician trying to calibrate his positioning. I heard an angry, frustrated man who might actually believe the lies he tells to excuse his failures. Witness what he said about the fact that the United States is seeing tens of thousands of new cases of covid-19 every day, while European countries now see just hundreds or even dozens: 

"But if we did — think of this, if we didn’t do testing — instead of testing over 40 million people, if we did half the testing, we’d have half the cases. If we did another — you cut that in half, we’d have yet again half of that. . . . They talk about cases, and the cases are created because of the fact that we do tremendous testing.”

Can a grown man able to dress himself in the morning really not understand that all those covid-19 cases would still exist, and people would still be suffering and dying, if we were performing no tests at all? Does he sincerely believe a tree that falls in the forest makes no sound if a Fox News camera crew isn’t there to record it?

Trump is immensely powerful, bizarrely irrational and increasingly desperate. Perilous months lie ahead, and I fear that things are likely to get much worse before they get better.

Sunday, June 28, 2020

Would Donald Quit? - Updated

President Donald Trump walks on the South Lawn after arriving on Marine One at the White House, Thursday, June 25, 2020, in Washington. Trump is returning from Wisconsin. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)
photo credit: AP Photo/Alex Brandon





It's hard for me to imagine that Donald would walk away, but I decided to post this just in case. As I've said here before, he sure doesn't look like he's having much fun as president. Maybe he will declare victory and leave the field. Stay tuned.  

Update. The Lincoln Project weighs in: 



Update #2 on Tuesday afternoon. Apparently Joe Scarborough thinks Donald might drop out. The question was asked during Eugene Robinson's Live Chat today: 


Hi Eugene! I watched Morning Joe this morning and Joe thinks that maybe President Trump will drop out in August. Politically, what would that mean for the race? I want Mike Pence to suffer political consequences for following Trump lock step--but would VP Biden have a harder time with VP Pence? Do you think Trump would go after Mike Pence because he couldn't stand to see his VP win? I know it's speculation, but would love to know what you think!

A: Eugene Robinson

I don't think Trump is going to drop out. If he did, and Pence ended up being the GOP nominee, I think Pence would lose -- I don't see him taking votes from Biden and I don't see him firing up the Trump base. I think the Republican Party would get massacred and basically have to start from scratch.

I'll see if I can find a clip of Joe Scarborough's remarks.

I haven't found video of Joe this morning, but I did see another tweet and this one uses the term "resign" rather than "drop out:"



Days until the election: 126

Update #3. I found the Joe S. video, which is from Friday morning:






Update #5 on Sunday, July 5. Donny Deutsch and Joe are still talking about the possibility that Donald would walk away. This is from Friday, July 3:

Donny Deutsch: "I want to go back something you teed up last week, that I've been thinking about all week, I would not be shocked if at some point he drops the mic. This thing is away from him, it's not turning around. and this is a guy that I can not see standing up and owning the biggest landslide defeat in U.S. history. ... I don't see this guy going the distance."

Joe S: "I've been talking to people who are actually close to him who have speculated for some time that rather than lose a huge election, a huge landslide loss, that he would walk away. Sort of do what LBJ did. ... He does not want to get beaten, with Biden getting 350, close to 400 electoral votes. You look at the polls, I don't know if people close to him are lying to him, but he's behind in Georgia, Texas is tied, even, I read that even some GOP pollsters are talking about the problems, he's struggling in Kansas. This is shaping up to be a historic landslide so I don't understand why he would hang on, especially because the coronavirus just keeps getting worse."

I wonder if somewhere, very quietly and very discreetly, officials from the RNC are developing a plan for what they would do if Donald drops out of the race.

Update #6 on Monday, July 6. An interesting thought from Jonathan Bernstein:


Tuesday, December 10, 2019

What If Donald Won't Leave?

What if Donald is removed from office via Impeachment, or loses the election? What if he just won't leave? The question came up again on Gene Robinson's Live Chat today:

Q: And If It Works...?

Hi Gene, hi all. While it seems unlikely at present that the Republicans in the Senate will vote to convict the president, leading to his removal from office, one must assume for argument's sake that it could eventually happen. Alright, let's say that over the next few weeks and during the Senate trial a small tide begins to turn, for whatever reason, and President Trump is convicted by exactly the number of votes required, not even with one to spare. He and his base will probably not accept the results. Then what? No president has ever been removed from office in our nation's history so there is no precedent. How do you think that the removal process will actually work--especially if the president and his supporters are not willing to go quietly (i.e., à la Richard Nixon)?



A: Eugene Robinson

Okay, we're in Fantasy Land right now. But if Trump is convicted and removed, at that point he will no longer be president and the executive branch will begin taking its orders from Mike Pence. I assume the Secret Service would immediately begin moving Trump and his family out of the White House. I assume Marine One would show up on the South Lawn, whether Trump summons it or not, and he would be escorted aboard.

Q: trump leaving office

Let's assume for the sake of argument, that in spite of his continued election interference (Rudy is still doing it now, as we chat here), Donald Trump loses the 2020 election. What's the plan for when he scream "Fake Election" and "Voter Fraud" and refuses to leave? The Congress doesn't even seem up to enforcing lawful subpoenas. What then?

A: Eugene Robinson

If he loses, then on Inauguration Day he will no longer be president. I assume the new president will order that former president Trump be escorted from the building.
(Read the entire chat here.)

I see people ranting about this on Twitter, too, and of course Donald has "joked" about staying for three terms. His supporters appear to believe that he can just stay on as long as he feels like it if they wish for it hard enough. What they're ignoring is what Gene says twice in his answers above: he will no longer be president. After the inauguration of the new president at noon on January 20, 2021, if Donald loses the election, or as soon as the Senate votes to remove him due to the Articles of Impeachment, Donald Trump isn't president anymore. Legally and constitutionally, he isn't president anymore.

But what if he won't leave? We're talking about Donald Trump sitting in the White House, pretending to be president when he isn't president anymore. I think he'd be laughed out of the room. Donald can tie himself to the Resolute Desk if he wants to, but that wouldn't change the fact that he isn't president anymore. At that point he's just a delusional 74-year-old man and he would be removed, physically if necessary.

For the good of the country I hope Donald leaves with dignity, whenever the moment comes, but I admit, it would be a tiny bit soul-satisfying to see him dragged out of the White House kicking and screaming.  

The question came up in a chat in May, too, read that here

Sunday, May 12, 2019

What If...




The subject came up twice during Eugene Robinson's Live Chat on Tuesday:

Q: Two extra years for a Trump do-over, because of the Russia investigation
So NOW do you believe that Trump won't leave the White House voluntarily? And that the military would be sufficiently loyal to him not to remove him physically?

A: Eugene Robinson
No. I agree with my colleague Karen Tumulty that President Trump is trolling us. And I will always maintain that whatever damage Trump is doing to our institutions, it's not enough for him to get to stay in the White House one extra day beyond his allotted term, which voters must bring to its much-needed end.

Q: Not Accepting Election Results
I worry about a lot of things but not too much about Trump not accepting election results if he loses. My assumption is that if a Democrat wins they proceed with normal transition activities, with or without Trump's participation. On Jan. 20 the new president takes the oath. Once that's done, Trump can't exercise presidential power because he doesn't have any. If he refuses to leave the White House, he's just a delusional old man, who will be removed by security like any other intruder. (Please let there be cell phone footage of that.) What am I missing? How much trouble can he really make?

A: Eugene Robinson
I'm totally with you. And yes, I hope they have to remove him bodily.

You can read the entire chat here

Wednesday, December 12, 2018

Russia And Stormy Daniels Are The Least Of His Problems - Updated

On April 14, shortly after federal investigators raided Michael Cohen's home and offices, Adam Davidson at The New Yorker wrote an article that included this: 

However, I am unaware of anybody who has taken a serious look at Trump’s business who doesn’t believe that there is a high likelihood of rampant criminality. In Azerbaijan, he did business with a likely money launderer for Iran’s Revolutionary Guard. In the Republic of Georgia, he partnered with a group that was being investigated for a possible role in the largest known bank-fraud and money-laundering case in history. In Indonesia, his development partner is “knee-deep in dirty politics”; there are criminal investigations of his deals in Brazil; the F.B.I. is reportedly looking into his daughter Ivanka’s role in the Trump hotel in Vancouver, for which she worked with a Malaysian family that has admitted to financial fraud. Back home, Donald, Jr., and Ivanka were investigated for financial crimes associated with the Trump hotel in SoHo—an investigation that was halted suspiciously. His Taj Mahal casino received what was then the largest fine in history for money-laundering violations.

Listing all the financial misconduct can be overwhelming and tedious. I have limited myself to some of the deals over the past decade, thus ignoring Trump’s long history of links to New York Mafia figures and other financial irregularities. It has become commonplace to say that enough was known about Trump’s shady business before he was elected; his followers voted for him precisely because they liked that he was someone willing to do whatever it takes to succeed, and they also believe that all rich businesspeople have to do shady things from time to time. In this way of thinking, any new information about his corrupt past has no political salience. Those who hate Trump already think he’s a crook; those who love him don’t care.

I believe this assessment is wrong. Sure, many people have a vague sense of Trump’s shadiness, but once the full details are better known and digested, a fundamentally different narrative about Trump will become commonplace.

The narrative that will become widely understood is that Donald Trump did not sit atop a global empire. He was not an intuitive genius and tough guy who created billions of dollars of wealth through fearlessness. He had a small, sad global operation, mostly run by his two oldest children and Michael Cohen, a lousy lawyer who barely keeps up the pretenses of lawyering and who now faces an avalanche of charges, from taxicab-backed bank fraud to money laundering and campaign-finance violations.

Cohen, Donald, Jr., and Ivanka monetized their willingness to sign contracts with people rejected by all sensible partners. Even in this, the Trump Organization left money on the table, taking a million dollars here, five million there, even though the service they provided—giving branding legitimacy to blatantly sketchy projects—was worth far more. It was not a company that built value over decades, accumulating assets and leveraging wealth. It burned through whatever good will and brand value it established as quickly as possible, then moved on to the next scheme. (Read the entire article here.) 

I quoted the article in a blog post (read it here,) and it came back to me when I saw this video clip of Donny Deutsch speaking on MSNBC this afternoon: 


This is the money quote: 

"Let me say this unequivocally, as a guy who spent most of his career in business in New York in the advertising business, the real estate business, the fashion business, it’s a small world. Donald Trump, in the industry of real estate developers, which is a bit of a slimy business to begin with, was known as the bottom of the bottom of the bottom of the food chain. I have heard story after story, this is a criminal guy. You have to do a dotted line to Letitia James, the attorney general of New York, who came out today and said, “Oh, we’re just starting with his foundation, we’re starting with the organization.” Russia and Stormy Daniels are the least of his problems. What is going to put him in jail eventually, what’s going to destroy everything he’s ever built and his children is a 30-year dishonest criminal enterprise. One thing will take him out of his presidency, the other thing will ruin him forever."

I don't think we can imagine how ugly things will get before it's all over.

Friday morning update. Washington Post columnist Eugene Robinson piles on:

Trump has been walking a tightrope of lies all his adult life, and now he is teetering. He has inflated his wealth. He has aggrandized his business acumen. He has managed to convince supporters that he is a respected businessman who brilliantly commanded a vast real estate empire. In a fanciful 2015 statement of his net worth, he claimed that his brand alone — just the name Trump — was worth $3 billion.

I wonder what it’s worth now.

In reality, Trump has never come anywhere near the top rank of New York real estate developers. He ran not a huge, sprawling enterprise but a small family firm in which he and his children had direct control. He was seen as so unreliable that genuine moguls refused to have anything to do with him. When he tried to go big — risking everything on casino development in Atlantic City — he failed miserably despite his father’s efforts to bail him out. His bankers were left holding the bag, and now most major financial institutions won’t lend the Trump Organization a dime. It was Trump’s undeniable skill as a television performer on “The Apprentice” that saved him from total ruin.

... How much of the Trump Organization’s revenue has come from the sale of luxury real estate to oligarchs from Russia and other kleptocracies? Where did these buyers’ money come from? Why was Deutsche Bank — recently raided by German authorities and under investigation for money laundering — the only major financial institution willing to lend money to Trump in recent years? Where did Trump’s company get the large amounts of cash used in several transactions that Post reporters uncovered? How much commingling of funds was there between Trump’s company and his eponymous foundation?

Trump’s longtime accountant, Allen Weisselberg, has turned state’s evidence. He may be the Virgil who guides federal, state and local prosecutors through a Trumpian inferno of shell companies and opaque transactions. The outlines of Trump’s fate begin to emerge.


Read the entire column here