Saturday, June 24, 2023

Harry and Meghan

In article dated today, June 24, the Wall Street Journal ponders Harry and Meghan's place in the world: 

LOS ANGELES—Prince Harry and Meghan Markle had been out of the U.K. for nearly two years when they began work on a project they believed could transform them from former royals to Hollywood power players.

The subject of endless rumors and gossip, the couple felt qualified to tackle the thorny topic of misinformation. A documentary would cement Harry and Meghan as serious creative types and help shed their reputation as exiles from the House of Windsor trading family dirt for eyeballs.

A team assigned to the job at the pair’s Los Angeles-based production company, Archewell, had questions for “H” and “M,” as the Sussexes are known to their employees. Would the misinformation project be a feature film or a series? Who would host it? Would it be historical or contemporary? Would Harry or Meghan appear in it? Would Meghan discuss her bitter history with British tabloids—and if not, who would want to watch? 

The couple had few answers, according to people familiar with the inner-workings of Archewell and Harry and Meghan’s deals with streamers. The misinformation documentary soon met the fate of other Archewell projects, and faded away.

Prince Harry and Meghan’s Hollywood foray is looking like a flop. They arrived in Southern California three years ago with Duke and Duchess titles and plans to capitalize on a cash-rich streaming business desperate for star power to lure subscribers. The big-ticket deals that followed—$100 million at Netflix NFLX 0.36%increase; green up pointing triangle, more than $20 million at Spotify—have led to more cancellations and rejections than produced shows.

The couple showed they could mine their personal stories. Prince Harry’s memoir “Spare” became a bestseller and the six-part documentary they produced for Netflix about their break with the royal family proved popular. That aside, they have struggled to make content that stretched beyond their own experiences.

The graveyard of video projects they hoped to make includes an animated children’s show called “Pearl” that was canceled by Netflix, as well as at least two TV ideas that the streaming service rejected within the past year, people familiar with Harry and Meghan’s projects said. Netflix is unlikely to renew the couple’s deal, which runs through 2025, the people said.

The Spotify pact produced a podcast, “Archetypes,” about the stereotypes that hold women back. A second season was discussed but eventually nixed. Spotify and the couple recently announced they have agreed to part ways.

People who have worked with the pair say their Sussex-upon-Sunset outpost was undermined by their inexperience as producers and trouble finding material consistent with their brand, as well as problems beyond their control, including a retrenchment in the entertainment and podcasting businesses.

An Archewell spokeswoman said, “New companies often make changes in their start up phase, both with people and strategy, and we are no exception. We’re more equipped, focused and energized than ever before.” She said the company recently hired a new head of scripted content, actress and producer Tracy Ryerson.

A Netflix spokeswoman said the company valued its Archewell partnership, and noted that “Harry & Meghan” was its biggest documentary debut. “We’ll continue to work together on a number of projects,” she said.

When Archewell and Spotify announced their split, the companies said in a joint written statement that they “mutually agreed to part ways and are proud of the series we made together.”

When they struck deals with Netflix and Spotify in 2020, streaming services were booming and executives were rushing to secure content and feed consumer demand, at any cost. The Sussexes joined Barack Obama, Nobel Peace Prize laureate Malala Yousafzai and others who fielded offers in Hollywood with few guidelines on what would come next.

The Covid-19 pandemic bolstered the streaming audience, with subscribers stuck at home, but also interrupted production for projects in their early stages of development, including some of the Sussexes’ work.

Today, streaming boom times have given way to an era of slower growth and unpredictability. Both Netflix and Spotify have cut shows and movies to trim costs. Both have been underwhelmed by the lack of productivity by the Sussexes, people familiar with their perspectives say.

'“Once you’ve launched your bombshell, what’s next?” said Andrew Morton, the longtime chronicler of the royal family.

Archewell employees and associates say the company often lacks direction, and that its founders at times seem surprised by the work required to finish entertainment projects. Most potential initiatives, they said, follow a similar route: Big idea, subpar execution.

In May 2022, the head of communications at Archewell and the head of communications at the couple’s nonprofit foundation stepped down. In the following months, several others followed, including the company’s head of audio and Mandana Dayani, president of the entire operation.

In March, Ben Browning, the film producer hired to oversee Archewell’s content slate on the strength of such credits as the Oscar-winning “Promising Young Woman,” left the company to return to his prior job. Archewell’s head of marketing parted ways with the company, as did its head of scripted content.

Hot start

Harry and Meghan arrived in Hollywood the subject of transcontinental fascination. They were the first senior royals since King Edward VIII to walk away from their official duties. They had famous friends in stars like Serena Williams and Oprah Winfrey, both of whom attended their 2018 nuptials.

After forging the lucrative deal with Netflix, the couple’s relationship with the company was bolstered by a friendship with its co-CEO and their neighbor in Montecito, Calif., Ted Sarandos.

“Harry & Meghan,” the fly-on-the-wall documentary about the couple’s love story, was the first major project produced under the deal. It featured intimate moments between the pair—Harry on the tears of his mother, Princess Diana; Meghan on her miscarriage—and delved into British colonialism as well as the racism the couple experienced.

The documentary opened the Sussexes up to criticism, including the moment when Meghan said she didn’t expect to curtsy before the queen.

Archewell employees felt the future of their Netflix deal hinged on the documentary’s success, and the project created tension inside the company. Harry and Meghan weighed in on edits, though at times were overruled, people involved in the project said.

Following up has proven difficult. Their second Netflix video project, a docuseries called “Live to Lead” about global leaders and activists, failed to reach the streamer’s list of Top 10 shows.

Other proposed projects seemed designed to replicate successful shows already on Netflix, such as a sitcom described as “Emily in Paris,” but about a man, and a family-friendly TV show about gay characters that felt similar to the fan favorite “Heartstopper.” Netflix said no to both, people familiar with the matter said.

After booming during the early part of the pandemic, Netflix’s subscriber growth began to stagnate as streaming competition ramped up and consumers resumed more regular lives. Netflix is still recovering from a sharp drop in its stock in 2022 after it announced its first quarter of subscriber losses in a decade.

The downturn rattled Hollywood, leading to what is now called the “Netflix Correction,” a period in which studios began to prune their catalogs and become choosier about which projects to back. A Hollywood writers’ strike has put more pressure on entertainment companies to justify big payouts, and has closed writing rooms industrywide.

Executives at Netflix have groused about Archewell’s output, according to people familiar with the matter, and feel that the success of the “Harry & Meghan” documentary is all the company has to show for the deal.

Today, one Archewell project is nearing completion at Netflix: a documentary series on the Invictus Games, a tournament Harry founded for wounded veterans after serving two tours with the British Army in Afghanistan.

Harry and Meghan are also developing a TV show for Netflix called “Bad Manners” based on Miss Havisham, a Charles Dickens character from “Great Expectations.” The prequel would recast the lonely spinster as a strong woman living in a patriarchal society, though it is unclear whether the show will get a green light from Netflix.

Archewell associates say Barack and Michelle Obama’s post-White House Hollywood venture, which also included deals at Netflix and Spotify, was the template followed by Harry and Meghan. The two couples worked with the same attorney on the deals. 

The Obamas have been more productive. Work by their Higher Ground production company for Netflix has included movies such as “Leave the World Behind,” starring Julia Roberts, and Kevin Hart’s “Fatherhood,” as well as a child-oriented show “Waffles+Mochi” and documentaries including “American Factory.”

New struggles

Meghan’s media productivity has largely been concentrated at Spotify, and the road to getting “Archetypes” on the air was rocky. When the Duchess first began working with the audio service, Archewell didn’t have an employee focused on audio projects, and instead, a public-relations representative initially led Archewell’s work with Spotify, people familiar with the company said.

The audio company’s executives grew frustrated with the amount of time it took Archewell to conceptualize an idea for Meghan’s podcast and assemble a production team. 

Ultimately, Archewell hired a head of audio, who worked in concert with members of Spotify’s Gimlet unit on podcasting ideas. The Gimlet team helped Meghan compile a list of potential guests, and Spotify helped build a podcast studio in the couple’s mansion, said people familiar with the situation. (News Corp’s Dow Jones & Co., publisher of The Wall Street Journal, has a content partnership with Spotify’s Gimlet Media unit.)

Choosing the right kind of guest was often fraught. Meghan wrote Taylor Swift a personal letter asking her to come on the podcast. The pop star declined, through a representative.

Meghan would often ask for changes late in the editing process, at times recruiting senior Spotify executives, including then-Chief Content Officer Dawn Ostroff, to call producers and push them to make changes.

The “Archetypes” podcast launched in August of 2022 and went to the top of Spotify’s podcast charts in its premiere week. It halted the release of new episodes in September during the mourning period for Queen Elizabeth II, Harry’s grandmother.

Given the show’s success, the audio company and Archewell executives began discussing a second season. Those talks stalled for months before Spotify told Archewell that the show wouldn’t be renewed.

Archewell didn’t make good on all of the terms of the Spotify deal, which included each of the Sussexes voicing and being directly involved in a podcast. Harry, in particular, struggled to land on an idea.

He explored a podcast on veterans but couldn’t find a compelling way to tackle the subject in podcast form. He tossed around subjects such as misinformation and his point of view as someone new to living in America, and at one point considered co-hosting a show with comedian Hasan Minhaj.

Ed Owens, author of the book, “After Elizabeth: Can the Monarchy Save Itself?” said Harry tried to return to subjects he previously focused on, but without the foundation of being a working royal. “They haven’t found the one area that they can really call their own,” Owens said.

Podcasts had their own industry correction. Facing difficulty turning a profit even on popular shows, Spotify has laid off about 800 workers so far this year and has canceled several shows, in addition to “Archetypes.” Spotify continues to make original podcasts, but with a bent toward conversational shows that don’t require heavy editing and high-touch production.

This month, Spotify and the Sussexes’s audio company announced they were ending their partnership. WME, the talent agency that recently signed Meghan, said at the time that the Archewell team was proud of “Archetypes” and that the Duchess continues to develop content for that show’s audience on another platform. Archewell executives hope working with WME will bring about new opportunities, from brand partnerships to podcasts.

Next episode

For Harry and Meghan, the broader streaming slowdown couldn’t come at a more uncertain time. They have indicated they want to move on from talking about the Royal Family following a tell-all interview with Oprah Winfrey, the Netflix documentary and Prince Harry’s book.

Revelations from these projects appear to have cemented the rift between the Duke and his father, King Charles III. The couple was asked to move out of their Frogmore Cottage home, and while the King invited the Sussexes to his coronation, Harry attended by himself, sat in the third row behind his older brother and was in the country only briefly.

Given their distance from the crown, the sheen Harry and Meghan once lent show-business projects is dimming. It helped cost them what was intended to be their first project with Netflix, an animated show about powerful women of history called “Pearl.”

The children’s show was developed when Meghan was still a working royal. It was created with help from David Furnish, who knew the royal family through his husband, Elton John. When the couple left the Palace and signed their Netflix deal, “Pearl” was the first show announced.

Netflix canceled it in May 2022. Executives decided that few children would care if the show they were watching had been produced by a duchess. (This is the article in its entirety.)

Sunday, April 2, 2023

Asa Hutchinson Is Running - Updated

Former Arkansas governor Asa Hutchinson is running for president. From Politico

“I am going to be running. And the reason, as I’ve traveled the country for six months, I hear people talk about the leadership of our country, and I’m convinced that people want leaders that appeal to the best of America, and not simply appeal to our worst instincts,” Hutchinson said during an interview with Jonathan Karl on ABC’s “This Week.” “I believe I can be that kind of leader for the people of America.”

Hutchinson will make a formal announcement later this month in Bentonville, Arkansas, he said.

Mr. Hutchinson has an interesting take on Donald: 

On Sunday, Hutchinson, a former federal prosecutor, reiterated the call he first made Friday for Trump to withdraw from the race.
“Well he should,” Hutchinson said, when asked whether Trump should pull out of the race. “But at the same time, we know he’s not [going to]. And there’s not any constitutional requirement.” The indictment will become too big of a “sideshow,” Hutchinson said, adding that the former president should focus on his defense instead of another bid for the White House.
“I mean, first of all, the office is more important than any individual person. And so for the sake of the office of the presidency, I do think that’s too much of a sideshow and distraction, and he needs to be able to concentrate on his due process[.] Read the entire article here
I've moved Mr. Hutchinson to the "I'm Running" list:
I'm Running (and the date they declared their candidacy)
  1. Donald Trump (November 15, 2022)
  2. Nikki Haley (February 14, 2023)
  3. Vivek Ramaswamy (February 21, 2023) By the way, who is this guy? Politico describes him as a "multi-millionaire biotech entrepreneur and self-described intellectual godfather of the anti-woke movement." Okay.  
  4. Asa Hutchinson (April 2, 2023)
... and deleted his name from the "I'm Thinking About Running" list:

I'm Thinking About Running
  1. Governor Greg Abbott, Texas
  2. John Bolton, former White House National Security Adviser
  3. Liz Cheney, former congresswoman from Wyoming
  4. Chris Christie, former governor of New Jersey, was a candidate in 2016
  5. Rep. Dan Crenshaw, Texas 
  6. Senator Ted Cruz, Texas 
  7. Governor Ron DeSantis, Florida
  8. Governor Doug Ducey, Arizona
  9. Richard Grenell, former ambassador to Germany and former acting director of national intelligence
  10. Will Hurd, former congressman from Texas
  11. Mark Meadows, White House chief of staff and former North Carolina representative 
  12. Governor Kristi L. Noem, South Dakota
  13. Robert C. O’Brien, national security advisor 
  14. Vice President Mike Pence
  15. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo
  16. Senator Mitt Romney, Utah, 2012 Republican nominee for president
  17. Senator Marco Rubio, Florida 
  18. Senator Ben Sasse, Nebraska 
  19. Senator Rick Scott, Florida
  20. Senator Patrick J. Toomey, Pennsylvania
Days until Election Day: 583

And one more thing: Since my last post, Donald has been indicted (or "indicated", as he put it in a Truth Social post) by the Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg, after a vote to indict by the Grand Jury. I have lots of thoughts about this, no surprise, but for now I'll just say that my dream in life is to live in a country where no one is stupid enough to send money to Donald Trump. Apparently a fund-raising blitz, which started seven seconds after the indictment was announced, has raised as much as 5 million dollars. How can people still be sending this man money? Wouldn't it be more entertaining to sit around setting $100 bills on fire? 

Update: Back on January 6, The Daily Mail ran a story saying that John Bolton would run in 2024, based on an interview Bolton gave to Good Morning, Britain. I saw the tweet the Mail sent out at the time but the story didn't get much traction, and as of yet Mr. Bolton hasn't officially announced, so I'm keeping him on the I'm Thinking About Running list. (Am I obsessed with lists? Yes.) You can read the Daily Mail story here.  

Update #2 on April 12: Senator Tim Scott of South Carolina has formed a presidential exploratory committee. This is from the Washington Post:

Scott, the only Black Republican in the Senate, has spent recent months laying the groundwork for a national campaign via early state travel and donor events. The exploratory committee will allow Scott's team to ramp up fundraising and fund travel before he officially declares a bid.

Based on this, I'm moving him to the "I'm Running" list. 

I'm Running (and the date they declared their candidacy)
  1. Donald Trump (November 15, 2022)
  2. Nikki Haley (February 14, 2023)
  3. Vivek Ramaswamy (February 21, 2023) By the way, who is this guy? Politico describes him as a "multi-millionaire biotech entrepreneur and self-described intellectual godfather of the anti-woke movement." Okay.  
  4. Asa Hutchinson (April 2, 2023)
  5. Senator Tim Scott (April 12, 2023)
There's one more piece of political news. Yesterday it was announced that Chicago will host the 2024 Democratic National Convention, which will take place on August 19-22 next year.

Days until the election: 573

Sunday, March 26, 2023

Who's Running in 2024? - Updated

In my last post, on November 14 of last year, I included a list from the Washington Post of the "top 10 individuals most likely to be the Republican nominee" for president in 2024. At the time, Ron DeSantis was in the top spot:  

  1. Ron DeSantis
  2. Donald Trump
  3. Mike Pence
  4. Glenn Youngkin (Governor of Virginia)
  5. Tim Scott
  6. Kari Lake (former news anchor running for Governor of Arizona)
  7. Ted Cruz
  8. Nikki Haley
  9. Mike Pompeo
  10. Rick Scott
The Post updates their list periodically; here's how the race looks to them now, in a list published yesterday: 
  1. Donald Trump
  2. Ron DeSantis
  3. Tim Scott
  4. Mike Pence
  5. Nikki Haley
  6. Glenn Youngkin
  7. Mike Pompeo
  8. Chris Sununu
  9. Kristi Noem
  10. Vivek Ramaswamy
The list is in "order of likeliness to be nominated, which takes into account both how likely they are to run - or that they're already running - and their formidability if they do." Others considered to be worth mentioning are Asa Hutchinson (former governor of Arkansas,) John Bolton (former White House national security adviser,) Liz Cheney (former congresswoman from Wyoming,) Greg Abbott (governor of Texas) and Will Hurd (former congressman from Texas.) Numbers 1, 5, and 10 from the list above are now declared candidates: 

I'm Running (and the date they declared their candidacy)
  1. Donald Trump (November 15, 2022)
  2. Nikki Haley (February 14, 2023)
  3. Vivek Ramaswamy (February 21, 2023) By the way, who is this guy? Politico describes him as a "multi-millionaire biotech entrepreneur and self-described intellectual godfather of the anti-woke movement." Okay.  
I'm Not Running (potential candidates who have definitively ruled themselves out, at least for 2024)
  1. Senator Tom Cotton
  2. Senator Josh Hawley
  3. Former Governor Larry Hogan
Things can only heat up from here, stay tuned for more.   

Days until Election Day: 590

Note: The Republican National Convention will take place July 15-18, 2024, in Milwaukee. The three finalist cities for the Democratic convention are Atlanta, Chicago and New York City; the dates have not yet been announced. 

And one more thing: In that November 18 post, I also included an "I'm Thinking About Running" list, which looked like this: 

I'm Thinking About Running: 
  1. Governor Greg Abbott, Texas
  2. Rep. Dan Crenshaw, Texas 
  3. Senator Ted Cruz, Texas 
  4. Governor Ron DeSantis, Florida
  5. Governor Doug Ducey, Arizona
  6. Richard Grenell, former ambassador to Germany and former acting director of national intelligence
  7. Nikki Haley, former ambassador to the United Nations and former South Carolina governor 
  8. Senator Josh Hawley, Missouri
  9. Governor Larry Hogan, Maryland 
  10. Mark Meadows, White House chief of staff and former North Carolina representative 
  11. Governor Kristi L. Noem, South Dakota
  12. Robert C. O’Brien, national security advisor 
  13. Vice President Mike Pence
  14. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo
  15. Senator Mitt Romney, Utah, 2012 Republican nominee for president
  16. Senator Marco Rubio, Florida 
  17. Senator Ben Sasse, Nebraska 
  18. Senator Rick Scott, Florida
  19. Senator Tim Scott. South Carolina 
  20. Senator Patrick J. Toomey, Pennsylvania
  21. Donald Trump
If we tweak this list a bit, i.e., Donald and Nikki Haley are on the I'm Running list, Senator Hawley and Governor Hogan are on the I'm Not Running list, and adding Wapo's "worth mentioning" names (Asa Hutchinson, John Bolton, Liz Cheney and Will Hurd) the I'm Thinking About Running list looks like this: 
  1. Governor Greg Abbott, Texas
  2. John Bolton, former White House National Security Adviser
  3. Liz Cheney, former congresswoman from Wyoming
  4. Rep. Dan Crenshaw, Texas 
  5. Senator Ted Cruz, Texas 
  6. Governor Ron DeSantis, Florida
  7. Governor Doug Ducey, Arizona
  8. Richard Grenell, former ambassador to Germany and former acting director of national intelligence
  9. Will Hurdm former congressman from Texas
  10. Asa Hutchinson, former governor of Arkansas
  11. Mark Meadows, White House chief of staff and former North Carolina representative 
  12. Governor Kristi L. Noem, South Dakota
  13. Robert C. O’Brien, national security advisor 
  14. Vice President Mike Pence
  15. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo
  16. Senator Mitt Romney, Utah, 2012 Republican nominee for president
  17. Senator Marco Rubio, Florida 
  18. Senator Ben Sasse, Nebraska 
  19. Senator Rick Scott, Florida
  20. Senator Tim Scott. South Carolina 
  21. Senator Patrick J. Toomey, Pennsylvania
As people declare themselves to be running or not running I'll update the lists. 

Update on March 27: I never had Georgia Governor Brian Kemp on my "Thinking About Running" list, but apparently he was considering it. A couple of days ago, however, he announced that he won't be running this time around. I've updated the "I'm Not Running" list:

I'm Not Running (potential candidates who have definitively ruled themselves out, at least for 2024)
  1. Senator Tom Cotton
  2. Senator Josh Hawley
  3. Former Governor Larry Hogan
  4. Georgia Governor Brian Kemp
Days until Election Day: 589

Update #2 on March 29: I haven't seen Chris Christie's name mentioned as a potential candidate in 2024, but according to the Washington Post he's considering it: 

Former New Jersey governor Chris Christie sharply criticized Donald Trump on Monday during his first trip this year to New Hampshire, as he kept the door open to entering the GOP presidential primary against his former ally and signaled he would decide by June.

In a nearly two-hour town hall at St. Anselm College's New Hampshire Institute of Politics, Christie said Trump's name more than 20 times, attacking the former president over his efforts to overturn the 2020 election that he lost, mocking his policy acumen and blaming him for Republican losses in the 2022 midterms. Christie also portrayed himself as uniquely well positioned to take on Trump.

"You know, Donald Trump said a couple of weeks ago, 'I am your retribution.' Guess what, everybody? No thanks. No thanks," Christie said to applause from his audience in an early-nominating state. "If I was going to pay somebody to be my retribution, I guarantee this, it wouldn't be him."

Christie, who has been publicly critical of Trump as he weighs a White House bid, continued, "Here's why it wouldn't be him, because he doesn't want to be my retribution. That's baloney. The only person he cares about is him. And if we haven't learned that since Election Day of 2020 to today, then we are not paying attention."

I've updated the "I'm Thinking About Running" list: 

  1. Governor Greg Abbott, Texas
  2. John Bolton, former White House National Security Adviser
  3. Liz Cheney, former congresswoman from Wyoming
  4. Chris Christie, former governor of New Jersey, was a candidate in 2016
  5. Rep. Dan Crenshaw, Texas 
  6. Senator Ted Cruz, Texas 
  7. Governor Ron DeSantis, Florida
  8. Governor Doug Ducey, Arizona
  9. Richard Grenell, former ambassador to Germany and former acting director of national intelligence
  10. Will Hurd, former congressman from Texas
  11. Asa Hutchinson, former governor of Arkansas
  12. Mark Meadows, White House chief of staff and former North Carolina representative 
  13. Governor Kristi L. Noem, South Dakota
  14. Robert C. O’Brien, national security advisor 
  15. Vice President Mike Pence
  16. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo
  17. Senator Mitt Romney, Utah, 2012 Republican nominee for president
  18. Senator Marco Rubio, Florida 
  19. Senator Ben Sasse, Nebraska 
  20. Senator Rick Scott, Florida
  21. Senator Tim Scott. South Carolina 
  22. Senator Patrick J. Toomey, Pennsylvania
Days until Election Day: 587