Monday, June 29, 2020

A Danger To The National Security Of The United States



The article starts with this:

In hundreds of highly classified phone calls with foreign heads of state, President Donald Trump was so consistently unprepared for discussion of serious issues, so often outplayed in his conversations with powerful leaders like Russian President Vladimir Putin and Turkish President Recep Erdogan, and so abusive to leaders of America's principal allies, that the calls helped convince some senior US officials -- including his former secretaries of state and defense, two national security advisers and his longest-serving chief of staff -- that the President himself posed a danger to the national security of the United States, according to White House and intelligence officials intimately familiar with the contents of the conversations.

The calls caused former top Trump deputies -- including national security advisers H.R. McMaster and John Bolton, Defense Secretary James Mattis, Secretary of State Rex Tillerson, and White House chief of staff John Kelly, as well as intelligence officials -- to conclude that the President was often "delusional," as two sources put it, in his dealings with foreign leaders. The sources said there was little evidence that the President became more skillful or competent in his telephone conversations with most heads of state over time. Rather, he continued to believe that he could either charm, jawbone or bully almost any foreign leader into capitulating to his will, and often pursued goals more attuned to his own agenda than what many of his senior advisers considered the national interest.

These officials' concerns about the calls, and particularly Trump's deference to Putin, take on new resonance with reports the President may have learned in March that Russia had offered the Taliban bounties to kill US troops in Afghanistan -- and yet took no action. CNN's sources said there were calls between Putin and Trump about Trump's desire to end the American military presence in Afghanistan but they mentioned no discussion of the supposed Taliban bounties.

By far the greatest number of Trump's telephone discussions with an individual head of state were with Erdogan, who sometimes phoned the White House at least twice a week and was put through directly to the President on standing orders from Trump, according to the sources. Meanwhile, the President regularly bullied and demeaned the leaders of America's principal allies, especially two women: telling Prime Minister Theresa May of the United Kingdom she was weak and lacked courage; and telling German Chancellor Angela Merkel that she was "stupid."

Trump incessantly boasted to his fellow heads of state, including Saudi Arabia's autocratic royal heir Mohammed bin Salman and North Korean dictator Kim Jong Un, about his own wealth, genius, "great" accomplishments as President, and the "idiocy" of his Oval Office predecessors, according to the sources.

In his conversations with both Putin and Erdogan, Trump took special delight in trashing former Presidents George W. Bush and Barack Obama and suggested that dealing directly with him -- Trump -- would be far more fruitful than during previous administrations. "They didn't know BS," he said of Bush and Obama -- one of several derisive tropes the sources said he favored when discussing his predecessors with the Turkish and Russian leaders. 

... includes this: 

... One person familiar with almost all the conversations with the leaders of Russia, Turkey, Canada, Australia and western Europe described the calls cumulatively as 'abominations' so grievous to US national security interests that if members of Congress heard from witnesses to the actual conversations or read the texts and contemporaneous notes, even many senior Republican members would no longer be able to retain confidence in the President.

The insidious effect of the conversations comes from Trump's tone, his raging outbursts at allies while fawning over authoritarian strongmen, his ignorance of history and lack of preparation as much as it does from the troubling substance, according to the sources. While in office, then- Director of National Intelligence Dan Coats expressed worry to subordinates that Trump's telephone discussions were undermining the coherent conduct of foreign relations and American objectives around the globe, one of CNN's sources said. And in recent weeks, former chief of staff Kelly has mentioned the damaging impact of the President's calls on US national security to several individuals in private.

Two sources compared many of the President's conversations with foreign leaders to Trump's recent press "briefings" on the coronavirus pandemic: free form, fact-deficient stream-of-consciousness ramblings, full of fantasy and off-the-wall pronouncements based on his intuitions, guesswork, the opinions of Fox News TV hosts and social media misinformation.

In addition to Merkel and May, the sources said, Trump regularly bullied and disparaged other leaders of the western alliance during his phone conversations -- including French President Emmanuel Macron, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, and Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison -- in the same hostile and aggressive way he discussed the coronavirus with some of America's governors.

.. But his most vicious attacks, said the sources, were aimed at women heads of state. In conversations with both May and Merkel, the President demeaned and denigrated them in diatribes described as "near-sadistic" by one of the sources and confirmed by others. "Some of the things he said to Angela Merkel are just unbelievable: he called her 'stupid,' and accused her of being in the pocket of the Russians ... He's toughest [in the phone calls] with those he looks at as weaklings and weakest with the ones he ought to be tough with."

The calls "are so unusual," confirmed a German official, that special measures were taken in Berlin to ensure that their contents remained secret. The official described Trump's behavior with Merkel in the calls as "very aggressive" and said that the circle of German officials involved in monitoring Merkel's calls with Trump has shrunk: "It's just a small circle of people who are involved and the reason, the main reason, is that they are indeed problematic."

... In his phone exchanges with Putin, the sources reported, the President talked mostly about himself, frequently in over-the-top, self-aggrandizing terms: touting his "unprecedented" success in building the US economy; asserting in derisive language how much smarter and "stronger" he is than "the imbeciles" and "weaklings" who came before him in the presidency (especially Obama); reveling in his experience running the Miss Universe Pageant in Moscow, and obsequiously courting Putin's admiration and approval. Putin "just outplays" him, said a high-level administration official -- comparing the Russian leader to a chess grandmaster and Trump to an occasional player of checkers. While Putin "destabilizes the West," said this source, the President of the United States "sits there and thinks he can build himself up enough as a businessman and tough guy that Putin will respect him." (At times, the Putin-Trump conversations sounded like "two guys in a steam bath," a source added.)

... and ends with this:

The common, overwhelming dynamic that characterizes Trump's conversations with both authoritarian dictators and leaders of the world's greatest democracies is his consistent assertion of himself as the defining subject and subtext of the calls -- almost never the United States and its historic place and leadership in the world, according to sources intimately familiar with the calls.

In numerous calls with the leaders of the UK, France, Germany, Australia and Canada -- America's closest allies of the past 75 years, the whole postwar era -- Trump typically established a grievance almost as a default or leitmotif of the conversation, whatever the supposed agenda, according to those sources.

"Everything was always personalized, with everybody doing terrible things to rip us off — which meant ripping 'me' — Trump — off. He couldn't -- or wouldn't -- see or focus on the larger picture," said one US official.

The source cited a conspicuously demonstrable instance in which Trump resisted asking Angela Merkel (at the UK's urging) to publicly hold Russia accountable for the so-called 'Salisbury' radioactive poisonings of a former Russian spy and his daughter, in which Putin had denied any Russian involvement despite voluminous evidence to the contrary. "It took a lot of effort" to get Trump to bring up the subject, said one source. Instead of addressing Russia's responsibility for the poisonings and holding it to international account, Trump made the focus of the call -- in personally demeaning terms -- Germany's and Merkel's supposedly deadbeat approach to allied burden-sharing. Eventually, said the sources, as urged by his NSC staff, Trump at last addressed the matter of the poisonings, almost grudgingly.

"With almost every problem, all it takes [in his phone calls] is someone asking him to do something as President on behalf of the United States and he doesn't see it that way; he goes to being ripped off; he's not interested in cooperative issues or working on them together; instead he's deflecting things or pushing real issues off into a corner," said a US official.

"There was no sense of 'Team America' in the conversations," or of the United States as an historic force with certain democratic principles and leadership of the free world, said the official. "The opposite. It was like the United States had disappeared. It was always 'Just me'."

How scary is it to think that this man has been the president of the United States for almost 3 1/2 years? Click here to read the entire article.

Sunday, June 28, 2020

Would Donald Quit? - Updated

President Donald Trump walks on the South Lawn after arriving on Marine One at the White House, Thursday, June 25, 2020, in Washington. Trump is returning from Wisconsin. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)
photo credit: AP Photo/Alex Brandon





It's hard for me to imagine that Donald would walk away, but I decided to post this just in case. As I've said here before, he sure doesn't look like he's having much fun as president. Maybe he will declare victory and leave the field. Stay tuned.  

Update. The Lincoln Project weighs in: 



Update #2 on Tuesday afternoon. Apparently Joe Scarborough thinks Donald might drop out. The question was asked during Eugene Robinson's Live Chat today: 


Hi Eugene! I watched Morning Joe this morning and Joe thinks that maybe President Trump will drop out in August. Politically, what would that mean for the race? I want Mike Pence to suffer political consequences for following Trump lock step--but would VP Biden have a harder time with VP Pence? Do you think Trump would go after Mike Pence because he couldn't stand to see his VP win? I know it's speculation, but would love to know what you think!

A: Eugene Robinson

I don't think Trump is going to drop out. If he did, and Pence ended up being the GOP nominee, I think Pence would lose -- I don't see him taking votes from Biden and I don't see him firing up the Trump base. I think the Republican Party would get massacred and basically have to start from scratch.

I'll see if I can find a clip of Joe Scarborough's remarks.

I haven't found video of Joe this morning, but I did see another tweet and this one uses the term "resign" rather than "drop out:"



Days until the election: 126

Update #3. I found the Joe S. video, which is from Friday morning:






Update #5 on Sunday, July 5. Donny Deutsch and Joe are still talking about the possibility that Donald would walk away. This is from Friday, July 3:

Donny Deutsch: "I want to go back something you teed up last week, that I've been thinking about all week, I would not be shocked if at some point he drops the mic. This thing is away from him, it's not turning around. and this is a guy that I can not see standing up and owning the biggest landslide defeat in U.S. history. ... I don't see this guy going the distance."

Joe S: "I've been talking to people who are actually close to him who have speculated for some time that rather than lose a huge election, a huge landslide loss, that he would walk away. Sort of do what LBJ did. ... He does not want to get beaten, with Biden getting 350, close to 400 electoral votes. You look at the polls, I don't know if people close to him are lying to him, but he's behind in Georgia, Texas is tied, even, I read that even some GOP pollsters are talking about the problems, he's struggling in Kansas. This is shaping up to be a historic landslide so I don't understand why he would hang on, especially because the coronavirus just keeps getting worse."

I wonder if somewhere, very quietly and very discreetly, officials from the RNC are developing a plan for what they would do if Donald drops out of the race.

Update #6 on Monday, July 6. An interesting thought from Jonathan Bernstein:


Two Guys Playing Golf

"And  you know how you make America great again? Tell Donald Trump to go to hell." Thus sayeth Lindsey Graham. 

Lindsey is golfing with Donald today. Maybe today will be the day he tells him? 




Saturday, June 27, 2020

This May Become A Big Story - Updated

At 9.30 this morning, the Washington Post posted a story online titled "Russian operation targeted coalition troops in Afghanistan, intelligence finds." This is the story in its entirety:

A Russian military spy unit offered bounties to Taliban-linked militants to attack coalition forces in Afghanistan, including U.S. and British troops, in a striking escalation of the Kremlin’s hostility toward the United States, American intelligence has found.

The Russian operation, first reported by the New York Times, has generated an intense debate within the Trump administration about how best to respond to a troubling new tactic by a nation that most U.S. officials regard as a potential foe but that President Trump has frequently embraced as a friend, said the officials, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss a sensitive intelligence matter.

The officials said administration leaders learned of reported bounties in recent months from U.S. intelligence agencies, prompting a series of internal discussions including a large interagency meeting that was held in late March. According to one person familiar with the matter, the responses discussed at that meeting included sending a diplomatic communication to relay disapproval and authorizing new sanctions.

Russian involvement in operations targeting Americans, if confirmed, is likely to lead to outrage on Capitol Hill and questions about why the administration has not responded to it.

Spokesmen for the National Security Council, the Pentagon, and the CIA declined to comment.

The Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs said in a statement that the story, “illustrates the low intellectual abilities of propagandists from the American intelligence, who instead of inventing something more reliable have to come up with such nonsense... However, what else can be expected from intelligence, which miserably failed the twenty-year war in Afghanistan”


The Taliban denied any involvement.

“We categorically reject the notion of ever planning or carrying out targeted attacks against U.S. or foreign forces at the behest of foreign intelligence or for the sake of collecting bounty,” said Taliban spokesman Zabihullah Mujahid in a statement, “and we also reject receiving material support from foreign intelligence because such undertakings are harmful for the sovereign decision-making of any country and movement.”

It was not immediately clear whether the militants approached by Russia as part of the initiative had succeeded in killing Americans or allied forces. News of the murky initiative comes as American diplomats attempt to kindle political talks that could put end to America’s longest war, now in its 19th year.

Earlier this year, the administration struck an initial peace deal with the Taliban. The agreement, which outlined the full withdrawal of the U.S. military within 14 months, was supposed to lead to a prompt start to talks between militant representatives and the Afghan government.

But the Afghan parties have failed to reach agreement on interim steps, and with the coronavirus crisis taking hold in Afghanistan, those talks have yet to materialize. Hanging over the process is Trump’s oft-stated desire to remove U.S. forces from the country, where local forces have been unable to secure an edge over the Taliban despite two decades of foreign funding and advising.

The attempt to stoke violence against Americans, if confirmed, would also represent a significant departure from Moscow’s earlier position toward Islamist militants in Afghanistan. Previously, U.S. officials had cited what they characterized as sporadic, low-level Russian support for the Taliban, including the supply of small arms via Afghanistan’s northern neighbors.

After the Soviet Union’s own punishing insurgent war in Afghanistan in the 1980s, Moscow remained largely in the background in the years after U.S. and NATO forces entered the country in the wake of the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks. But as America’s anxiousness to depart has fueled greater uncertainty, Russia has appeared to attempt to wield greater influence in recent years.

While Moscow’s motives for alleged bounties were not immediately clear, officials said they might include retaliation for the U.S. military’s 2018 killing of Russian mercenary troops working for Yevgeniy Prigozhin, an oligarch with links to Russian President Vladimir Putin, in Syria, or simply, as one official put it, an attempt to “muddy the negotiations on Afghanistan by throwing a stick in that.”

During the Soviet war in Afghanistan, which ended in 1989, the U.S. government provided weaponry and funds to Afghan mujahideen rebels fighting against Soviet forces.

The unit that officials identified as responsible for allegedly offering the bounties has also been linked to the poisoning and attempted murder of former Russian military spy Sergei Skripal in Britain in 2018.

While that attack — along with Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and its role in the war in Syria — has generated strong criticism in Europe and from many of Trump’s most senior advisers, the president himself has frequently appeared to have a chummy relationship with Putin, downplaying Russian interference in the 2016 U.S. election and other Russian transgressions.

Russia is one of a number of issues on which Trump’s instincts have appeared to differ from those of his senior advisers. The United States has imposed sanctions on Russia over a number of issues, including its invasion of Ukraine, cyberattacks, and election meddling, while the Pentagon has identified Russia as second only to China in terms of its “great power” rivals.

Military officials this month spoke out in unusually harsh terms over what they said was Russia’s decision to provide fourth-generation jet fighters to a rogue general in Libya, adding to a spiraling proxy conflict there.

News of the cloaked operation comes as the Pentagon confirms that it has completed an initial drawdown of American forces to about 8,600 servicemembers from Afghanistan, a first step toward a full withdrawal. Officials have said the full withdrawal remains “conditions-based,” suggesting they will seek to keep a sizable force there if the Taliban does not make a political deal with the Afghanistan government.

While Taliban forces have halted attacks against the United States as part of that deal, the militants have continued to assault Afghan troops, making for what one senior Afghan official described this week as the most deadly conditions in 19 years.
  

Update. The denials have started: 



... and the responses: 


























Friday, June 26, 2020

A Republican Speaks: "I'm Voting For Joe Biden"

In Darby, Pennsylvania, on June 17, 2020.
photo credit: Matt Slocum/AP

Stuart Stevens is a Republican political consultant and a senior advisor to The Lincoln Project. In a USA Today opinion piece titled "2020 Election: If Republicans care about America, they should vote for Joe Biden," he explains why:

I’ve worked in five Republican presidential campaigns. Four won the nomination and two won the White House. It’s a presidential election summer but I am trying to do everything I can to help elect a Democrat: Joe Biden.

Another four years of Donald Trump would be a disaster for America and the world. They would also be a disaster, and likely fatal, for the Republican Party. The reality is that President Trump is a symptom, not the source, of the disease that is ravaging the Republican Party. Only by confronting that sickness can there be a possibility of a cure.

The Republican Party has lost its way

In 1956, Dwight Eisenhower got 36% of the African American vote. In 1964, that number fell to 6% for Barry Goldwater. One could have argued that once the Civil Rights bill, which Goldwater opposed, became law, many of those former Republican African Americans would return to the party. But it never happened, and Republicans have never come to grips with the reasons.

For decades, Republicans told themselves that African Americans would be drawn back to the party if only Republicans understood how to communicate with Black voters.

This launched a cottage industry of Black Republican consultants hired by the RNC to help white Republican candidates and campaigns deliver their message to non-white voters. “If you talk about ‘good’ jobs not just jobs, African Americans will hear you,” was a standard of these lessons.

It was all nonsense. African Americans heard Republicans clearly; they just didn’t like what they were hearing. The party that revered Ronald Reagan’s line, “The nine most terrifying words in the English language are ‘I’m from the government and I'm here to help,’” never realized that to many African Americans and lower income whites, the federal government was the last best hope for a better life.

After the 2012 election, Republican Party Chairman Reince Priebus commissioned a so-called “autopsy” to analyze the reasons the party had only won the popular vote once since 1988. The need to reach out to non-white voters, to appeal to younger voters and women was presented not just as a political necessity but a moral mandate for a governing party.

All of that was thrown aside a few years later when the party embraced the white grievance candidacy of Donald Trump. Trump didn’t bend the party to his will, he gave the party an excuse to quit pretending it really cared about anything but power.

Biden is right choice for Republicans

I’ve helped elect Republican governors or senators in over half the country, and I have given up any hope that there is some line Trump can cross to make more than a few Republicans in Congress stand for the principles they all swore to believe. The only way to save the Republican Party is to crush Trump and Trumpism and rebuild. It’s why I say, when I am asked what to do about the party I worked in for so long, “Burn it to the ground and start over.”

That starts with electing Joe Biden. Most importantly, Biden is a decent man with a seriousness of purpose that is totally lacking in the Trump administration. The alternative is four more years of a Republican Party that endorsed Roy Moore and stands silently by as Attorney General Bill Barr shreds the rule of law.

It is possible the party can squeeze out enough white voters and suppress enough non-white voters to eke out a victory for Trump. But it is impossible for that party to grow and prosper beyond November 3rd.

Today in America over half of those 15 and under are non-white. There is good reason to believe that when they turn 18 they’ll register as Democrats. That is a stage four cancer warning for the Republican Party. Had George Wallace won the Democratic nomination and been embraced by the Democratic establishment, what would that have meant for the future of the party?

So it is with Republicans and Trump. We have a president and vice president who refuse to say the words “black lives matter” and seem more determined to defend Confederate statues than the Constitution.

I spent years working to defeat Bill Clinton, Al Gore, John Kerry and Barack Obama. In those battles, I passionately believed Bob Dole, George W. Bush and Mitt Romney would make better presidents, but I never feared for the country if a Democrat won. That’s how a civil society must function. But today I do desperately fear for the country if Trump wins, again. History tells us that once hate is unleashed and legitimized by a major political party, it is difficult to stop. History will judge each of us on what we did to defend America in this tenuous moment.

America or Donald Trump? That’s how this Republican sees the November choice. I say to my Republican friends: I know what side I’m on, do you?

Stuart Stevens is a Republican consultant, writer and currently serves as a senior advisor to The Lincoln Project. His book, "It Was All A Lie: How The Republican Party Became Donald Trump," will be published in August. Follow him on Twitter: @stuartpstevens.

This Day In History, 1963: Ich Bin Ein Berliner









And five years ago this:



... and this:

 










Leadership (And Singing) - Updated

Thoughts about leadership from The Lincoln Project:

June 24, 2020 - The Lincoln Project’s latest video, “Leadership,” released today, illustrates how a true President leads in a time of crisis and juxtaposes it with the sorry excuse for honorable leadership under Donald J. Trump the past four years.

The spot begins airing today in the critical swing states of Wisconsin, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Michigan.

“Joe Biden is a strong, caring leader who can guide us out of the hell Americans find ourselves in,” said John Weaver, co-founder of The Lincoln Project. “It’s imperative Joe Biden wins this November.”

Reed Galen, a co-founder of The Lincoln Project, said, “Joe Biden is the clear choice when it comes to compassionate and decent leadership. In a battle of heart, mind, and character Joe Biden wins by a landslide. We need to ensure that’s reflected in the vote this November.”

No American should live in fear due to a lack of honest leadership. Thankfully, Joe Biden will be elected on November 3rd and with that the healing of our country will begin. The work doesn’t stop there, The Lincoln Project will work tirelessly to make sure Joe Biden is sworn in come January.

The Lincoln Project is a group of prominent Republicans and former Republicans working to defeat the re-election of Donald J. Trump and those who support him.






And how beautiful is this:


Click here to read more about The Lincoln Project.

Update on Saturday morning. Donald makes a big fuss about respecting the 
National Anthem, as if kneeling can take anything away from what our anthem stands for. But have you seen him when he thinks no one is looking? Consider this, taken during a Super Bowl party at Mar-a-Lago:




Demi Lavato is singing the anthem on television in the background; Melania and Barron are on either side of Donald, standing respectfully with their hands over their hearts. How much respect for the anthem is Donald showing? 

The Most Perfect Person? - Updated




Even Sean Hannity can't take this with a straight face. Watch him at the 8 second mark.

Update: Palliative care? New York Times media critic James Poniewozik weighs in:



And one more thing. When you've lost the Wall Street Journal:

President Trump may soon need a new nickname for “Sleepy Joe” Biden. How does President-elect sound? On present trend that’s exactly what Mr. Biden will be on Nov. 4, as Mr. Trump heads for what could be an historic repudiation that would take the Republican Senate down with him.

I'm praying they're right. 

Wednesday, June 24, 2020

I Can't Resist (There's Always A Tweet)


Remember this tweet from 2014?



Yesterday Mike Pence, clearly trying to showcase his robust healthiness, in contrast to Donald's lack of same, decided he would run up the stair to Air Force Two. It did not go well:




As wobbly as Donald's been looking lately, it wouldn't surprise me if one of these days, he trips and falls down the stairs of AF1.



Tuesday, June 23, 2020

He Wasn't Joking

This is devastating:



And no, he wasn't joking, this tweet is from this morning:



And one more thing. I haven't published a "tweet with a typo" in a while, but this one is pretty funny:









Sunday, June 21, 2020

Donald Looks Awful - Updated

This is Donald arriving back at the White House after the unmitigated f*****g disaster that the Tulsa rally turned out to be:




And here's video of his "walk of shame":





A couple of interesting points from former advancemen: 









Update on Monday morning. The Lincoln Project has some fun with the music from Jurassic Park, which is one of my favorite "movie songs" ever:




Two years ago the cast of Jurassic World also had some fun, celebrating the iconic movie's 25th anniversary:




The picture of "wretched Donald" is getting a lot of attention: 




Update #2 on Wednesday morning. Another picture from Saturday night, this time as Donald gets off Air Force One to walk to Marine One for the flight to the White House:

President Trump arriving at Joint Base Andrews after the rally in Tulsa, Okla., on Saturday night.
photo credit: Doug Mills/NY Times

A question about Donald's sloppy and defeated look came up on Eugene Robinson's live chat Tuesday afternoon: 

Q: Wretched Donald

Along with many others, I've been watching the video of Trump walking from Marine One to the White House Saturday Night, and in particular I'm struck by the still photo. As a reality TV star, a showman, a conman, a snake oil salesman, someone who cares a lot about how things look on television, I would have expected him to polish up before getting off the helicopter. (How could his staff let him walk out the door looking so disheveled? That alone should get someone fired.) He knows cameras will be there, how hard would it have been to tie his tie and comb his hair? Is he really as destroyed as he looks to be in the picture and the video?

A: Eugene Robinson

That was such a striking moment because we simply don't see Trump like this. He is so curatorial about his image. It stuns me that he allowed himself to be captured on video in such a beaten-down, disheveled state. It made me wonder about his health.


And here's a few more shots from last week-end, taken by Mr. Mills: