The mid-term election is over, which means the 2024 campaign for president is now underway, and you know what that means: Lists. I like lists, in particular lists of who might or might not run, who is or is not running for president. On October 18, 2020, I posted a list of 24 Republicans who appeared to be at least considering a run for president four years in the future. (This was 2 1/2 weeks before the 2020 election took place; at that point there were two possible outcomes for 2024: Donald would be completing his second term or Joe Biden would be gearing up to run for reelection.) Here's that list:
- Governor Greg Abbott, Texas
- Rep. Liz Cheney, Wyoming
- Senator Tom Cotton, Arkansas
- Rep. Dan Crenshaw, Texas
- Senator Ted Cruz, Texas
- Governor Ron DeSantis, Florida
- Governor Doug Ducey, Arizona
- Richard Grenell, former ambassador to Germany and former acting director of national intelligence
- Nikki Haley, former ambassador to the United Nations and former South Carolina governor
- Senator Josh Hawley, Missouri
- Governor Larry Hogan, Maryland
- Mark Meadows, White House chief of staff and former North Carolina representative
- Governor Kristi L. Noem, South Dakota
- Robert C. O’Brien, national security advisor
- Vice President Mike Pence
- Secretary of State Mike Pompeo
- Senator Mitt Romney, Utah, 2012 Republican nominee for president
- Senator Marco Rubio, Florida
- Senator Ben Sasse, Nebraska
- Senator Rick Scott, Florida
- Senator Tim Scott. South Carolina
- Senator Patrick J. Toomey, Pennsylvania
- Donald Trump Jr.
- Ivanka Trump
Two years later things look a little different. At that time there wasn't much talk about Donald running in 2024 if he lost in 2020, which is why he's not on this list. Don Jr. and Ivanka are, however, but with Donald almost certain to run, the kids are out of contention. Representative Liz Cheney sacrificed her career to pursue the truth as part of the January 6 commitee and Senator Tom Cotton is the first to officially announce that he's not running. He gets to be the first name on the "I'm Not Running" list:
I'm Not Running
1. Senator Tom Cotton
With those tweaks to the list above, here is my current "I'm Thinking About Running" list:
I'm Thinking About Running:
- Governor Greg Abbott, Texas
- Rep. Dan Crenshaw, Texas
- Senator Ted Cruz, Texas
- Governor Ron DeSantis, Florida
- Governor Doug Ducey, Arizona
- Richard Grenell, former ambassador to Germany and former acting director of national intelligence
- Nikki Haley, former ambassador to the United Nations and former South Carolina governor
- Senator Josh Hawley, Missouri
- Governor Larry Hogan, Maryland
- Mark Meadows, White House chief of staff and former North Carolina representative
- Governor Kristi L. Noem, South Dakota
- Robert C. O’Brien, national security advisor
- Vice President Mike Pence
- Secretary of State Mike Pompeo
- Senator Mitt Romney, Utah, 2012 Republican nominee for president
- Senator Marco Rubio, Florida
- Senator Ben Sasse, Nebraska
- Senator Rick Scott, Florida
- Senator Tim Scott. South Carolina
- Senator Patrick J. Toomey, Pennsylvania
- Donald Trump
As soon as candidates start to officially declare they're running, I'll put up the I'm Running list.
Update on November 16: I hadn't seen it when I initially wrote this post, but on Saturday, the Washington Post posted their list of the top 10 individuals most likely to be the Republican nominee in 2024 and note that their list is ranked, my list above is simply alphabetical. This is how the Washington Post sees the GOP race right now, (or at least as of Saturday):
- Ron DeSantis
- Donald Trump
- Mike Pence
- Gleen Youngkin (Governor of Virginia)
- Tim Scott
- Kari Lake (former news anchor running for Governor of Arizona)
- Ted Cruz
- Nikki Haley
- Mike Pompeo
- Rick Scott
Since the list was published, Kari Lake lost her race for Governor of Arizona, Rick Scott is challenging Mitch McConnell for Senate Minority Leader, and, oh yeah, last night Donald Trump officially announced that he's running for president. Again. That means he gets to be the first name on the "I'm Running" list:
I'm Running
- Donald Trump (November 15, 2022)
Days until the 2024 election: 720
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