Showing posts with label when trump is gone. Show all posts
Showing posts with label when trump is gone. Show all posts

Saturday, October 17, 2020

The Case Against Donald Trump: He Is The Nation's Most Pressing Problem

In an opinion posted yesterday, the New York Times editorial board went nuclear on Donald. This is the editorial in its entirety: 

Trump’s re-election campaign poses the greatest threat to American democracy since World War II.

Mr. Trump’s ruinous tenure already has gravely damaged the United States at home and around the world. He has abused the power of his office and denied the legitimacy of his political opponents, shattering the norms that have bound the nation together for generations. He has subsumed the public interest to the profitability of his business and political interests. He has shown a breathtaking disregard for the lives and liberties of Americans. He is a man unworthy of the office he holds.

The editorial board does not lightly indict a duly elected president. During Mr. Trump’s term, we have called out his racism and his xenophobia. We have critiqued his vandalism of the postwar consensus, a system of alliances and relationships around the globe that cost a great many lives to establish and maintain. We have, again and again, deplored his divisive rhetoric and his malicious attacks on fellow Americans. Yet when the Senate refused to convict the president for obvious abuses of power and obstruction, we counseled his political opponents to focus their outrage on defeating him at the ballot box.

Nov. 3 can be a turning point. This is an election about the country’s future, and what path its citizens wish to choose.

The resilience of American democracy has been sorely tested by Mr. Trump’s first term. Four more years would be worse.

But even as Americans wait to vote in lines that stretch for blocks through their towns and cities, Mr. Trump is engaged in a full-throated assault on the integrity of that essential democratic process. Breaking with all of his modern predecessors, he has refused to commit to a peaceful transfer of power, suggesting that his victory is the only legitimate outcome, and that if he does not win, he is ready to contest the judgment of the American people in the courts or even on the streets.

The enormity and variety of Mr.Trump’s misdeeds can feel overwhelming. Repetition has dulled the sense of outrage, and the accumulation of new outrages leaves little time to dwell on the particulars. This is the moment when Americans must recover that sense of outrage.

It is the purpose of this special section of the Sunday Review to remind readers why Mr. Trump is unfit to lead the nation. It includes a series of essays focused on the Trump administration’s rampant corruption, celebrations of violence, gross negligence with the public’s health and incompetent statecraft. A selection of iconic images highlights the president’s record on issues like climate, immigration, women’s rights and race. And alongside our judgment of Mr. Trump, we are publishing, in their own words, the damning judgments of men and women who had served in his administration.

The urgency of these essays speaks for itself. The repudiation of Mr. Trump is the first step in repairing the damage he has done. But even as we write these words, Mr. Trump is salting the field — and even if he loses, reconstruction will require many years and tears.

Mr. Trump stands without any real rivals as the worst American president in modern history. In 2016, his bitter account of the nation’s ailments struck a chord with many voters. But the lesson of the last four years is that he cannot solve the nation’s pressing problems because he is the nation’s most pressing problem.

He is a racist demagogue presiding over an increasingly diverse country; an isolationist in an interconnected world; a showman forever boasting about things he has never done, and promising to do things he never will.

He has shown no aptitude for building, but he has managed to do a great deal of damage. He is just the man for knocking things down.

As the world runs out of time to confront climate change, Mr. Trump has denied the need for action, abandoned international cooperation and attacked efforts to limit emissions.

He has mounted a cruel crackdown on both legal and illegal immigration without proposing a sensible policy for determining who should be allowed to come to the United States.Obsessed with reversing the achievements of his immediate predecessor, Barack Obama, he has sought to persuade both Congress and the courts to get rid of the Affordable Care Act without proposing any substitute policy to provide Americans with access to affordable health care. During the first three years of his administration, the number of Americans without health insurance increased by 2.3 million — a number that has surely grown again as millions of Americans have lost their jobs this year.

He campaigned as a champion of ordinary workers, but he has governed on behalf of the wealthy. He promised an increase in the federal minimum wage and fresh investment in infrastructure; he delivered a round of tax cuts that mostly benefited rich people. He has indiscriminately erased regulations, and answered the prayers of corporations by suspending enforcement of rules he could not easily erase. Under his leadership, the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau has stopped trying to protect consumers and the Environmental Protection Agency has stopped trying to protect the environment. He has strained longstanding alliances while embracing dictators like North Korea’s Kim Jong-un and Russia’s Vladimir Putin, whom Mr. Trump treats with a degree of warmth and deference that defies explanation. He walked away from the Trans-Pacific Partnership, a strategic agreement among China’s neighbors intended to pressure China to conform to international standards. In its place, Mr. Trump has conducted a tit-for-tat trade war, imposing billions of dollars in tariffs — taxes that are actually paid by Americans — without extracting significant concessions from China.

Mr. Trump’s inadequacies as a leader have been on particularly painful display during the coronavirus pandemic. Instead of working to save lives, Mr. Trump has treated the pandemic as a public relations problem. He lied about the danger, challenged the expertise of public health officials and resisted the implementation of necessary precautions; he is still trying to force the resumption of economic activity without bringing the virus under control.

As the economy pancaked, he signed an initial round of aid for Americans who lost their jobs. Then the stock market rebounded and, even though millions remained out of work, Mr. Trump lost interest in their plight.

In September, he declared that the virus “affects virtually nobody” the day before the death toll from the disease in the United States topped 200,000.

The foundations of American civil society were crumbling before Mr. Trump rode down the escalator of Trump Tower in June 2015 to announce his presidential campaign. But he has intensified the worst tendencies in American politics: Under his leadership, the nation has grown more polarized, more paranoid and meaner.

He has pitted Americans against each other, mastering new broadcast media like Twitter and Facebook to rally his supporters around a virtual bonfire of grievances and to flood the public square with lies, disinformation and propaganda. He is relentless in his denigration of opponents and reluctant to condemn violence by those he regards as allies. At the first presidential debate in September, Mr. Trump was asked to condemn white supremacists. He responded by instructing one violent gang, the Proud Boys, to “stand back and stand by.”

He has undermined faith in government as a vehicle for mediating differences and arriving at compromises. He demands absolute loyalty from government officials, without regard to the public interest. He is openly contemptuous of expertise.

And he has mounted an assault on the rule of law, wielding his authority as an instrument to secure his own power and to punish political opponents. In June, his administration tear-gassed and cleared peaceful protesters from a street in front of the White House so Mr. Trump could pose with a book he does not read in front of a church he does not attend.

The full scope of his misconduct may take decades to come to light. But what is already known is sufficiently shocking:

He has resisted lawful oversight by the other branches of the federal government. The administration routinely defies court orders, and Mr. Trump has repeatedly directed administration officials not to testify before Congress or to provide documents, notably including Mr. Trump’s tax returns.

With the help of Attorney General William Barr, he has shielded loyal aides from justice. In May, the Justice Department said it would drop the prosecution of Mr. Trump’s former national security adviser Michael Flynn even though Mr. Flynn had pleaded guilty to lying to the F.B.I. In July, Mr. Trump commuted the sentence of another former aide, Roger Stone, who was convicted of obstructing a federal investigation of Mr. Trump’s 2016 election campaign. Senator Mitt Romney, Republican of Utah, rightly condemned the commutation as an act of “unprecedented, historic corruption.”

Last year, Mr. Trump pressured the Ukrainian government to announce an investigation of his main political rival, Joe Biden, and then directed administration officials to obstruct a congressional inquiry of his actions. In December 2019, the House of Representatives voted to impeach Mr. Trump for high crimes and misdemeanors. But Senate Republicans, excepting Mr. Romney, voted to acquit the president, ignoring Mr. Trump’s corruption to press ahead with the project of filling the benches of the federal judiciary with young, conservative lawyers as a firewall against majority rule.

Now, with other Republican leaders, Mr. Trump is mounting an aggressive campaign to reduce the number of Americans who vote and the number of ballots that are counted.

The president, who has long spread baseless charges of widespread voter fraud, has intensified his rhetorical attacks in recent months, especially on ballots submitted by mail. “The Nov 3rd Election result may NEVER BE ACCURATELY DETERMINED,” he tweeted. The president himself has voted by mail, and there is no evidence to support his claims. But the disinformation campaign serves as a rationale for purging voter rolls, closing polling places, tossing absentee ballots and otherwise impeding Americans from exercising the right to vote.

It is an intolerable assault on the very foundations of the American experiment in government by the people.

Other modern presidents have behaved illegally or made catastrophic decisions. Richard Nixon used the power of the state against his political opponents. Ronald Reagan ignored the spread of AIDS. Bill Clinton was impeached for lying and obstruction of justice. George W. Bush took the nation to war under false pretenses.

Mr. Trump has outstripped decades of presidential wrongdoing in a single term.

Frederick Douglass lamented during another of the nation’s dark hours, the presidency of Andrew Johnson, “We ought to have our government so shaped that even when in the hands of a bad man, we shall be safe.” But that is not the nature of our democracy. The implicit optimism of American democracy is that the health of the Republic rests on the judgment of the electorate and the integrity of those voters choose.

Mr. Trump is a man of no integrity. He has repeatedly violated his oath to preserve, protect and defend the Constitution of the United States.

Now, in this moment of peril, it falls to the American people — even those who would prefer a Republican president — to preserve, protect and defend the United States by voting.

Saturday, August 24, 2019

Nikki Haley And Mike Pence: The 2024 Republican Primary?

Did you see this tweet?




Sweet, right? Maybe not. In an article posted today titled Haley-Pence rivalry heats up as GOP weights post-Trump future, and with a subtitle that says Interviews with top Republicans reveal they're watching each other warily ahead of a potential 2024 showdown, Politico ponders what will happen when Donald is no longer president. It starts with this: 

When top Republicans convened at the St. Regis resort in Aspen, Colo. last month for an exclusive donor retreat, several attendees said there was palpable tension in the room as the gathering’s two headliners prepared to speak: Vice President Mike Pence and former United Nations ambassador Nikki Haley.

The assembled group of governors, high-dollar donors, and operatives were well aware that the two have big ambitions; to some it seemed as if Pence and Haley, who spoke on back-to-back days, were vying for their attention. Some in the audience found themselves parsing and comparing the two speeches and buzzed they were getting a sneak preview of a 2024 Republican primary. Others recalled something peculiar: Neither Pence nor Haley acknowledged each other in their presentations, even though they gave shout-outs to others attending the retreat.

At a time when Republicans are starting to contemplate what their party will look like after Donald Trump leaves office, a rivalry has developed between the two politicians who cut markedly different profiles — and signs of strain are bubbling to the surface.

Pence and Haley aren't openly sniping: Publicly, both sides maintain there's nothing but mutual respect between them. But interviews with nearly two dozen top Republicans revealed that the opposing camps are closely tracking each other's moves, and remain deeply suspicious of one another.

... includes this: 

“The two of them have absolutely been friends and worked well together over the years, but you have to suspend disbelief to say that their relationship going forward won’t be viewed within the context of the presidential election after next,” said Rob Godfrey, who served as a senior aide to Haley during her six-year tenure as South Carolina governor.

... The recent divisions have been fueled partly by the rumors that Haley could replace Pence on the ticket and the fact she took so long to address them. Some top Pence aides said they think Haley or an ally was behind the Wall Street Journal op-ed, which a representative for the former ambassador denied.

The White House has pushed back against the idea that Pence will get booted. Trump privately told Pence he was irritated by the Wall Street Journal article, and last weekend the president told reporters he was “very happy” with the vice president and “wouldn't be thinking about” removing him from the ticket.

Erick Erickson, a prominent conservative commentator who is close to Pence and Haley, said the former ambassador was wise to shoot down the VP speculation. The rumors had intensified so much that two governors had recently reached out to him to ask whether Pence was about to be canned, Erickson said.


... and concludes with this: 

The skirmish offers a potential preview of what’s in store for the GOP after 2020 — a fight over the direction of the party. Pence has been the president’s most unwavering ally since he joined the ticket in 2016, even when Trump’s policies and personal conduct veered far from the principles Pence had long been known for. Haley, who endorsed Marco Rubio in 2016 and was critical of Trump during the campaign, has shown a willingness to break from the administration. She has urged the GOP to be more inclusive, representing potentially a new direction for the party.

Haley’s forthcoming memoir, to be released in November, may offer a hint of her approach. While the book isn’t expected to take direct shots at the White House, its promotional materials describe her as “a leader who seeks to bring Americans together in divisive times.”
(Read the entire article here.) 

This isn't the first time the possibility of booting Mike Pence off the ticket has come up. In December there was reporting that said Donald was questioning his VP's loyalty: 

 


I wrote about it here

There really will come a day when Donald is no longer president. Who will lead the Republicans, and possibly the country, in the post-Trump era is one of the most intriguing questions in politics. You bet I'll be watching closely.  

Thursday, January 10, 2019

Changes To The Line Of Succession (And Thinking About The VP) - Updated

With the installation of the 116th U.S. Congress, there have been a couple of changes to the line of succession to the presidency:

  1. VP: Mike Pence
  2. Speaker of the House: Nancy Pelosi
  3. President Pro Tempore of the Senate: Chuck Grassley
  4. Secretary of State: Mike Pompeo
  5. Secretary of the Treasury: Steve Mnuchin

No, not at the top. Donald is still in the White House, at least for now, and first-in-line VP Mike Pence is still doing his best to appear loyal in public while privately salivating over the possibility that Donald will in fact get booted out of office.

The changes are in the middle of the list. Former Speaker Paul Ryan is now out of government and Nancy Pelosi is once again 2nd in line as Speaker of the House. Former President Pro Tempore of the Senate Orrin Hatch has retired and Iowa Senator Chuck Grassley is now third in line. (What, exactly, is the President Pro Tempore of the Senate? It's a leadership position in the senate, traditionally held by the most senior senator in the majority party.) Fourth and fifth in line are unchanged since Mike Pompeo was confirmed as Secretary of State in April.

Note that our old friend Mitt Romney is, after 12 years in the wilderness and three attempts to become president, once again on the government payroll at the age of 71. He was elected to Hatch's Utah senate seat as expected, but he didn't slide into Hatch's place in the line of succession. Poor Mittens is 97th in seniority out of 100 senators. (Who does he outrank? Fellow newbies Mike Braun of Indiana, Josh Hawley of Missouri and Rick Scott of Florida.)

Image result for pence with trump
photo credit: Washington Post

With the churn in the line of succession, not to mention the incompetent chaos of the Trump administration, I admit I've been thinking about Mike Pence recently. Confession: I don't like him and I don't want to see him as president. (Yes, anyone, anyone, would be better than Donald, but in the case of Mike Pence, not by much.) Still, as we approach the halfway point of Donald's term, I think there's a good possibility he doesn't make it to January 20, 2021. What then? Pence accedes to the presidency. What happens next? I believe three things will be true:

1. Former president Donald Trump will be extremely unpopular. He's historically unpopular now but I'm not talking about now. I'm talking about six or nine or twelve months from now when all the bad stuff has come out about what a truly wretched, dishonest, treasonous, criminal degenerate pig Donald Trump really is. Richard Nixon was reviled when he left office and Donald will be too.

2. Many, many Republicans will try to rewrite history and pretend that they never had anything to do with Donald.

3. What newly-elevated President Pence will care most about is keeping his new job. In other words, he'll want to win reelection in 2020 and to do that, he'll need to separate himself from Donald. He may not say, in his first speech, that "Our long national nightmare is over," as Gerald Ford did when he assumed the presidency in 1974, but you know Pence will try very hard to make voters believe that the whole unmitigated disaster of the Trump presidency had nothing to do with him.

Image result for pence with trump
photo credit: Politico

That's not going to happen. Trust me when I tell you that the Democrats won't let anyone forget that Mike Pence sold his soul to the devil, as the saying goes, so that he would be in position to benefit if/when Donald flamed out. Unlike Gerald Ford, who was Nixon's second vice president, sworn into office in December, 1973, just eight months before Nixon's resignation and untainted by Watergate, Pence has been at Donald's side since the convention in July, 2016. There are many, many pictures of Pence standing sweetly next to Donald, starry-eyed with admiration (and yes, gratitude.) There are dozens of interviews and speeches in which VP Pence proclaims Donald's greatness. If Pence is the Republican nominee in 2020 you can expect to see those pictures and videos everywhere during the campaign.

I know I've wandered into the weeds a bit in this post, but there's one more thing on my mind as I ponder Mike Pence's future. A month after Gerald Ford became president he issued an unconditional pardon of Richard Nixon. He did it partly out of compassion for Nixon and his family, partly because he believed that having to resign the presidency counted as a serious punishment, meaning that Nixon didn't "get off scot-free," and partly so he (Ford) and the country could move on from Watergate.

Would Pence follow Ford's lead and pardon Donald, if he was in a position to do so? Ford's pardon of Nixon was volcanically unpopular and the conventional wisdom is that it played a significant part in Ford's loss to Jimmy Carter in 1976. I think it's accurate to say that Ford didn't anticipate how unpopular the Nixon pardon would be. (In his memoir, Ford wrote that he was surprised at how little compassion American voters felt for Richard Nixon after he resigned. I wonder how much compassion Americans would feel for Donald Trump.) President Ford had no historic precedent to look to for guidance but Pence would have one. Based on Ford's experience, my best guess right now is that even if Pence wanted to pardon Donald, he wouldn't do it before the 2020 election. Too risky.

In our "what if" scenario, Donald's best shot at a pardon would probably be a Pence loss in 2020. Soon-to-be former President Pence could issue the pardon on Inauguration Day, 2021, right before he walks out the door of the White House for the last time, which is when outgoing presidents traditionally issue pardons that are expected to be controversial or unpopular. Would he? Pence, who would be 61 at the time, presumably would be looking forward to enjoying the cushy life of a former president. (He could also, of course, be thinking about running again in 2024.) Would he be willing to risk his popularity, and possibly some of his future income from paid speeches and a memoir, by taking the heat for letting Donald off the hook? There's no way to know right now but I'd say it's not a given.

Enough speculating for now. The next two years are going to be fascinating, if not particularly enjoyable. Two years from today we'll be 10 days away from Inauguration Day. Will it be President Trump, preparing for a second term? President Pence, elected in his own right and starting his first full term? (Because Pence would have served less than half of Donald's term, he would be eligible to run again in 2024.) President Warren? President Inslee? President Biden? I'm going to be watching closely. Election day 2020 is only 662 days away.

Update on January 16: Someone is indulging in a little wishful thinking. Don't get too excited, this really is "fake news":


Naturally the real Washington Post is not happy:

Update #2 on January 21, Martin Luther King Jr. Day. VP Pence compares Donald to Dr. King:

And here's a picture of Mike adoring Donald, accompanying a story at the Washington Post:


photo credit: Alex Brandon/AP

Sunday, December 2, 2018

When Trump Is Gone - Updated

At some time in the future, Donald will no longer be president. He'll be impeached and removed, he'll resign in disgrace, he'll be defeated in 2020 or (God help us all) he'll leave office in 2025 after two terms. Or, not to be morbid or anything, but perhaps one of these days we'll wake up to discover that Donald's overstressed seventy-something heart just stopped beating. However it happens and whenever it comes, there will be a day when Donald isn't president anymore. In anticipation of that day, I'm beginning to see rumblings about accountability for those who supported a degenerate criminal pig for, and as, president.



Monday morning update:
Update #2 on Wednesday morning. The title of this post refers to a time when Donald is no longer president, but as I watched coverage of the run-up to former President Bush's funeral this morning, I couldn't help thinking of that day in the future when we're going through these rituals on Donald's behalf. In the spirit of saying nice things about people when they die, what will commentators say about 45 on the day of his funeral?

"His reality TV show got pretty good ratings, at least at the beginning."

"He brought an ice rink in New York in on-time and under budget."

"He somehow convinced three attractive women to marry him."

And maybe, "He made it through George H.W. Bush's funeral without embarrassing himself," although as I'm writing the funeral hasn't actually started so hold that thought. Who knows what Donald might do.

Update #3 on Thursday afternoon: An interesting actuarial tidbit. One of the commentators during the Bush funeral yesterday pointed out that Donald Trump, George W. Bush and Bill Clinton are all the same age. They were born within ten weeks of each other in the summer of 1946, Donald on June 14, W. on July 6 and Bill on August 19.